BBM, Sara top picks in NCR

PUBLiCUS polls tandem at 51% plus each, Leni 24.3%, Isko 9.8%

Former senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio are leading the presidential and vice-presidential races in the National Capital Region, according to the latest Pahayag NCR Tracker Survey conducted by Publicus.

Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio and former senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr.

Over half or 51.6% of the 1,625 Metro Manila residents who participated in the survey conducted from April 8 to 13 chose Marcos as their bet for president, the firm said in a statement released Monday.

Meanwhile, 51.3% of respondents chose Duterte-Carpio as their vice-presidential bet. The NCR-wide margin of error is +/- 3%, Publicus said.

It was the first time for Publicus to release presidential and VP survey results just for the capital region, the firm’s executive director Aureli Sinsuat said.

In the March 2022 survey conducted by Pulse Asia with results released last April 6, Marcos got a 64-percent preference rating in Metro Manila, down slightly from a 66-percent score in February.


In the same survey, Robredo garnered 24 percent in NCR in March, up from 15 percent in February.

As for the Social Weather Stations commissioned survey from January 28 to 31, Marcos enjoyed a firm grip on the top spot and even gained seven percentage points after increasing his numbers from 43 percent in October 2021 to 50 percent in January 2022. Robredo was a far second with 19 percent.

NCR has an estimated 7.3 million voters according to official Commission on Elections statistics.

In the Pahayag poll, 24.3% of respondents said they would vote for Vice President Ma. Leonor “Leni” Robredo, while 9.8% chose Manila Mayor Francisco “Isko Moreno” Domagoso.

For the VP race, Senator Francis “Kiko” Pangilinan (15.4%), Senate President Vicente “Tito” Sotto III (11.6%), and Dr. Willie Ong (11.4%) found themselves in a statistical tie for second place.

Vote firmness was also markedly high in the presidential and vice presidential races, Publicus said, with most supporters of leading candidates reporting they would “definitely or likely not” change their respective votes.

Robredo registered the highest proportion of firm voters among presidential bets, with 87% of the respondents who chose her as their presidential bet saying their vote would definitely or likely not change, the firm said.

Meanwhile, 86% among the respondents who chose Marcos said their vote would definitely or likely not change. About 68% of Domagoso’s supporters were also tagged as firm voters.

In the vice-presidential race, Duterte-Carpio notched the highest firm voters share with 90% of her supporters saying they would definitely or likely not change their vote.

Pangilinan, Sotto, and Ong notched firm voter shares of 84%, 77%, and 69%, respectively.

“The NCR vote firmness numbers appear to validate the general trend illustrated by our national data, which suggests that a large majority of registered voters are already dead-set on whom to vote for President and Vice President on May 9,” said Sinsuat.

The Pahayag NCR Tracker Survey is an independent and non-commissioned survey conducted by Publicus between April 8 to 13.

The 1,625 registered Filipino voters comprising the purposive survey panel, all residents of Metro Manila, were randomly selected from the panel marketplace maintained by American firm PureSpectrum, Publicus said.

Parameters based on respondent age, gender, and location were also utilized in the sample formulation in order for the resulting sample to conform more closely to the features of the voting population, as defined by statistics from the Comelec.

PureSpectrum is a US based panel marketplace with a multinational presence. Samples provided by PureSpectrum are not affiliated with any bias or political party. All opinions voiced in the interpretation and analyses of the data are those of the writer and/or project sponsor, it said.

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